Where foresight meets urgency. Each Brief delivers probability-based forecasts of major geopolitical events through the PRISM engine. It is the voice that speaks before the world reacts.
Ukraine–Russia: The Winter Signature The Call: The war's active phase ends by February 2026. Major bombing of cities and infrastructure concludes, replaced by sporadic violence along a frozen line of control. Russia secures all of Donbas. Probability: 75%. The Rationale: The war persists not because Ukraine can
Venezuela: The Strike Window Bottom Line Up Top Targeted assassination of Nicolás Maduro (Hezbollah/Hamas-style strike): 25% probability in the November-January window. Limited kinetic incident in the Guyana-Essequibo region: 35% probability. Full-scale invasion remains unlikely at 15%. The Stakes Venezuela claims the Essequibo region—two-thirds of Guyana's territory—
Saudi–Pakistan Pact: A Post-Atlantic Axis Forms Bottom Line Up Top: A formal defense pact transforms a long-standing covert relationship into the most consequential non-Western security alignment of the decade. This is not an anti-Iran bloc but a hedge against strategic abandonment. The Shift: The "Islamic Solidarity Defense Agreement&
